October 25, 2023

Despite its limits, the fresh new Essential Statistics supplies the most useful offered analysis in which to help you guess this new national divorce proceedings price into the 1990. S. Census Bureau personnel indicates that marital occurrences data in the ACS and you will U.S. Vital Analytics (including the DRA try) is actually similar ( Elliott ainsi que al., 2010). Prices to get more the past few years commonly it is possible to because the federal bodies discontinued the distinctive line of crucial analytics into marriages and you may divorces during the state height within the 1996.

To make sure that all of our email address details are sturdy, i did an extra research from the restricting the latest 2010 ACS analysis to simply the fresh DRA shot states where ages in the lifetime of splitting up was claimed for the 1990. The results from this supplemental analysis are almost identical to those in accordance with the whole nation, suggesting the rise in the fresh divorce or separation rate is not an enthusiastic artifact from also ACS investigation from the claims.

Analytic Approach

Our approach is primarily descriptive as we aim to provide trend data on divorce and to identify the factors associated with divorce among today’s middle-aged and older adults. All results are presented for the total sample and separately for middle-aged (aged 50–64) and older (aged 65 and older) adults to assess whether there is cohort variation. To begin, we calculate the 1990 and 2010 divorce rates (and numbers of divorces) to determine whether the risk of divorce has increased over the past two divorce rates for various subgroups to show how the likelihood of divorce varies by sociodemographic factors (demographic characteristics, economic resources, and the marital biography). Next, we present bivariate comparisons of those who divorced versus remained e sets of factors. Finally, we estimate logistic regression models to examine how demographic characteristics, economic resources, and the marital biography are related to divorcing in the past 12 months (coded 1) versus remaining married (coded 0). Individuals who experienced widowhood in the past 12 months are included in the remained married category because they were at risk of divorce in the past 12 months. Excluding them from the analysis produced substantively similar findings (results not shown). These models provide correlational evidence only; divorces took place during the past 12 months, whereas the sociodemographic characteristics are measured at interview. Factors associated with the likelihood of divorce, such as employment or income, may have changed in response to divorce. Thus, interpretation of the findings requires caution. All analyses were conducted using replicate weighting techniques as recommended by the U.S. Census Bureau to generate robust standard errors because the ACS involves a complex sampling design ( U.S. Census Bureau, 2009). Given the large sample size of the ACS, we imposed a stringent threshold for statistical significance: a two-tailed p

R esults

Given that shown in the Shape step one, the latest Slovakialainen naiset naimisiin divorce proceedings price features twofold once the 1990, rising out-of 4.nine to ten.1 divorced persons each step 1,000 married people. So it development belies the overall trend on the U.S. separation and divorce price during this time, that was essentially apartment in the 19.0 inside 1990 and you may 17.nine this present year (result not shown). This new increasing of one’s rates away from splitting up one of center-old and older adults results in a hefty escalation in this new amount of people aged fifty and you may older which feel separation. During the 1990, up to 206,007 somebody aged fifty and you can elderly had divorced, while this current year on 643,152 got divorced. So you’re able to contextualize this trend, believe one to fewer than 1 in ten individuals which separated into the 1990 was aged 50 and you can old weighed against more than 1 when you look at the cuatro now (results not revealed). Also, whenever the fresh splitting up rate remains constant over the 2nd twenty years-a traditional expectation based on the previous pattern-what number of persons old fifty and you will old who would experience splitting up for the 2030 perform go up by the 1/3rd in order to more 828,380 (authors’ calculation according to ages-certain estimated inhabitants systems inside 2030 [ You.S. Census Bureau, 2004]), reflecting the new accelerating development in the latest old human population that may are present along side 2nd twenty years.